20:29 Friday, July 01, 2022

Английската централна банка подкрепи предложената сделка за брексит

Управителят на Английската централна банка Марк Карни даде своята подкрепа за предложената от британския премиер Тереза Мей сделка за брексит, като предупреди, че алтернативата, включваща излизането на Великобритания от Европейския съюз без наличието на преходен период (т.нар. твърд брексит) може да доведе до негативни икономически последици, сравнени с тези по времето на петролния шок от 70-те години на миналия век, предаде агенция “Ройтерс”.

“От самото начало подчертахме важността да имаме определен преходен период между сегашните договорености и крайните споразумения между Великобритания и Европейския съюз”, заяви Карни в своя реч пред британските законодатели в парламента.

“Така че ние приветстваме временни договорености, предложени от британския премиер в проектоспоразумение с Европейския съюз за брексит и вземаме под внимание възможността за удължаване на този преходен период”, допълни той.

Миналата седмица Тереза Мей успя да се договори с европейските преговарящи в Брюксел относно условията по оттеглянето на Великобритания от Европейския съюз след малко повече от четири месеца (на 29-ти март 2019 година). Предложеното от британския премиер брексит споразумение обаче срещна твърда съпротива в рамките на управляващата Консервативна партия, което означава, че може да се провали неговото гласуване в парламента.

Карни разгневи мнозина британски евроскептици преди гласуването на референдума за брексит през лятото на 2016 година, след като предупреди, че едно решение за напускане на общността може да навреди сериозно на британската икономика.

В настоящата си реч пред британските депутати Марк Карни предупреди, че евентуалната липса на преходно споразумение с Европейския съюз би довела до “голям негативен шок” за британската икономика.

“Това би било много необичайно положение”, посочи той.

“Много рядко се наблюдава голям негативен шок в една напреднала икономика. Ще трябва да разпрострем нашия анализ до 70-те години на миналия век, за да открием аналогии на това, което може да се случи”, добави Карни.

Той визира петролното ембарго, което износителките от ОПЕК наложиха по време на арабско-израелската война през 1973-а година и което доведе до силен скок на цените на петрола, вкарвайки по този начин много от западните икономики в дълбока рецесия.

Карни също така посочи, че съществуват ограничения за това, което би могло да направи Английската централна банка в случай на шок за икономиката в следствие на твърд брексит. При такъв негативен сценарий банката може да направи относително малко, за да компенсира както спада в търсенето, така и да гарантира, че банковата индустрия в страната е в състояние да продължи да отпуска заеми.

Той отбеляза, че планираният анализ от страна на финансовата институция за икономическите последици от брексит няма да включва сценарий, в който Великобритания ще остане в единния блок.

Част от анализа на Английската централна банка ще бъде публикуван на 28 ноември заедно с резултатите от последните стрес тестове на британските банки и с оценката на финансовата стабилност на Великобритания.

Filed in: Брексит, Новини от UK, Пари, финанси

53 Responses to “Английската централна банка подкрепи предложената сделка за брексит”

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